NFL Vegas Lines

NFL Vegas lines and NFL Sunday Picks-Week 5: Over/Under Vegas Lines, Expert Predictions and Odds. A look back at what was to come.

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Those who played NFL picks at week 5 of the 2017 football season had to feel a little bit like the New England Patriots did at that time. The Patriots was average at .500, which was both good and bad. The good is it could have been much worse. The bad is they sat with the same record as the New York Jets. NFL Vegas lines in 2017 helps to illustrate how tough last season was at that time. It’s not easy to pick NFL spreads a quarter of the way through the season where the New York Giants have yet to win and the Jacksonville Jaguars sat tied for a division lead. 

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The Philadelphia Eagles was quietly one of the best teams in the NFL, and the Arizona Cardinals don’t travel well, so this looked like a layup of a sportline for bettors to exploit.  Carson Wentz and the Eagles looked dominant to start the year 3-1, only coming up short on the road against the elite Kansas City Chiefs by a touchdown. Week 4 was a 26-24 point spread road escape of a game to a Los Angeles Chargers team.

Wentz didn’t  post world-beating numbers, but it helped his offense has discovered a running game thanks to LeGarrette Blount, who had 249 yards and a score on a 5.9 yard-per-carry average. A Brandon Graham-lead defense boasted 10 sacks and consistent pressure on opponents. Said opponent the following week was a Cardinals team with an immobile quarterback in Carson Palmer and a 2-2 record that didn’t do justice to your sports betting profile if you were a Cardinals fan,that’s  just how rough the team had looked. 

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The Cardinals hardly slipped past the Andrew Luck-less Colts in Week 2, a road game that went to a 16-13 overtime finale. Same story in Week 4, where the Cardinals needed overtime to escape the winless San Francisco 49ers, 18-15. Without David Johnson, Palmer threw five touchdowns and interceptions, and the team averages less than three yards per carry. That simply was not going to get it done on the road against a budding Eagles team. The Seattle Seahawks got off to a miserable start in year 2017 the Seahawks are notorious late starters, though last year felt even worse than usual. Russell Wilson and Co. had lost both road games to start the season and only slipped past the 49ers in 12-9 fashion at home, later blowing away the Colts, 46-18. 

So what gives that made this feel different? Mostly Seattle’s questionable approach to building in the offensive trenches, which already had Wilson suffering 10 sacks and endless pressure. While the Seahawks had struggled in worse-than-usual fashion, the Los Angeles Rams had been one of the season’s better surprises while surging to a 3-1 record behind seven touchdowns and one interception from a leap-year Jared Goff. 

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http://bleacherreport.com

 

NFL Picks Against The Spread

It’s a Cinderella story when it comes to NFL predictions:

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a plucky little underdog football team sports its best defensive and offensive lines, takes advantage of the surprise factor, and wins big, paying off $300 to $400 for every dollar bet on them. Of course, the Cinderella story rarely comes true with vegas nfl picks,in part because the guys who set the lines know what they’re doing. Imagine, though, if you had a way of looking over the college football bets and Vegas football bets lines and picking out the few games in each season where the heavily discounted underdog comes out hard and slams the favorite. Imagine if you could look over the football picks for this week and size up the long odds underdogs who are the most likely to pull it out and pay off with a big win.

It’s not impossible, especially early in the season. That’s because most of the vegas odds on football bets are running lines based on last year’s stats and performances. They’re figuring the teams that had the worst defense last year will have the worst defense this year, and the most winning teams are most likely to keep right on winning. For the most part, their information will be accurate – but there are always cases where the public perception – which is where a lot of the nfl betting lines action comes from – hasn’t quite caught up with the difference made by a new coach, a new player or some serious practice hours over the summer.

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The secret of picking longshots that will be winning football bets or vegas nfl picks isn’t so difficult. Simply look for teams that are better on the field than they look on paper. Compare the underdog’s actual record to date with the odds being offered. Is it a team that’s faced off a big winner from last year and won? Is there a nfl latest line on a game where the teams are relatively equal, but the odds make the game look completely unbalanced? The right bet on that game could plump up your bank account nicely.

Here’s the thing. Early in the season, many football bettors are still making their decisions based on last year’s stats. The books know they have to increase the nfl playoff odds to balance the betting – but those long odds tend to scare off a lot of bettors, which has the tendency to increase those odds even further. In the end, even a small bet on a big underdog can offer a huge payoff.

Of course, betting long odds won’t pay off in every circumstance, or even in most of them. It’s important that you do your homework – check out the winning football picks for this week and read the analysis carefully. You’re looking for games where the teams are actually pretty well matched, but the books have had to put a higher number on the underdog to balance the betting. You won’t win every one of those longshot nfl spread picks, but even a few of them over the course of the season can add some serious padding to your wallet.

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Article By Chris Robertson Jr: http://www.articlesfactory.com

History Of NFL Vegas Lines

In years past, if a gambler wanted to place super bowl odds on NFL football he or she would place a wager with the neighborhood bookie.

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In the nineteen-sixties, in an effort to control what had become an enormous underground industry, the Federal Government legalized sports betting within the state of Nevada, and made it illegal everywhere else in the U.S. With the rise of the world wide web, online football betting has become an internet commonplace and online sportsbooks take in billions of bets each year. This didn’t all happen overnight.

NFL betting lines has been around longer than many of the more traditional sports bettors care to remember. Originally, football betting took place in a back alley or a local pub and the local bookie was the person who cashed in on the wagers placed on football. The only choice many people had for gambling on games was through the local bookie. Back then, bookies had an image of being the tough guy. They flashed the money they made, and when credit came due and a bettor couldn’t pay, bookies often resorted to violence. It was this image and violence that led to their eventual downfall.

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The Federal Government isn’t fond of underground, untaxed, and lawless economies. And that’s exactly what football betting was. In addition, whether true or not, the feds were convinced that many of these neighborhood bookies had mob ties. In order to stop control and regulate football betting and all other betting on sports, the Federal Government outlawed betting in all states but Nevada. The only legal way to bet on football at that point was to do it in Vegas.

However, many industries have been outlawed in the history of the United States, some recently, some not so recently, and none of them successfully. So even after Las Vegas sportsbooks were legalized football bettors still tended to use the neighborhood bookie, and the business thrived. This was true for many reasons, but especially financial ones: it’s neither easy nor profitable to hop a plane to Las Vegas to place a $100 wager. Despite this success, the neighborhood bookies weren’t by any means free from the attempts of the police to shut them down. Legal issues were an unwelcome nuisance for the business, and police raids were costly and frightened off business. What bookmakers really needed was a way to get out from underneath the long arm of the United States’ law. They found it in the late ’90s on the internet.

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Article By Stephen Warrington: http://www.articlesfactory.com